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Alejandro Escalona

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Condiciones óptimas para una reforma migratoria

Publicado: 12/11/2012 10:16

elecciones estados unidos

El voto latino jugó un papel clave en la reelección del presidente Barack Obama. Como se esperaba, más del 70 por ciento de los latinos votaron por el mandatario. Esto a pesar de que Obama no cumplió su promesa de campaña hace cuatro años de lograr una reforma migratoria y ha deportado a un número récord de indocumentados. Ahora ésa debe ser una prioridad del mandatario en su segundo periodo.

Hace algunos años, tuve la oportunidad de entrevistar a Obama, junto con un grupo de colegas, cuando todavía era senador federal por Illinois. En la entrevista, defendió su voto a favor de construir un muro en la frontera suroeste con México. Su voto había alarmado a la comunidad latina de Chicago y provocado críticas por parte de líderes latinos.

Obama defendió su voto en favor de un muro. El entonces senador se disculpó por no haber consultado a la comunidad latina extensamente. De hecho, se reunió posteriormente con un contingente latino para saldar las diferencias.

Sin embargo, Obama no se disculpó por su postura respecto al muro ni se echó para atrás. Para mí siempre ha sido evidente que construir un muro --sin importar su tamaño-- no detendrá la inmigración ilegal. Sin embargo, Obama se ganó mi respeto por mantener su postura.

Estoy de acuerdo en que la seguridad de las fronteras es un factor crítico cuando se contempla una reforma migratoria integral. Los gobiernos de Bush y Obama han gastado unos $90 mil millones para reforzar la seguridad en la frontera entre México y Estados Unidos.

El objetivo ha ido no sólo impedir que terroristas se cuelen por la frontera sur, sino también detener el flujo de inmigrantes indocumentados; la mayoría de ellos mexicanos. De hecho, el flujo se ha virtualmente detenido.

Un reciente estudio del Pew Hispanic Center señala que, por primera vez en décadas, el flujo de migrantes mexicanos que ingresan y salen de Estados Unidos ha llegado a un punto neutro. El estudio indica que la tendencia en los últimos dos años ha sido que más mexicanos regresen a su país que aquellos que emigran a Estados Unidos.

"La mayor ola migratoria en la historia proveniente de un solo país hacia Estados Unidos se ha detenido", plantea el estudio del Pew Hispanic Center.

Los cruces ilegales diminuyeron en 80 por ciento entre 2000 y 2010. Esto explica por qué los arrestos en la frontera en el suroeste descendieron a sus niveles más bajos desde 1972.

Según el Pew Hispanic Center, menos de 100,000 indocumentados provenientes de México se quedaron a radicar en Estados Unidos; esta cifra se redujo de unos 525,000 anuales de 2000 a 2004. Los mexicanos se están regresando a su país y menos optan por migrar.

La población indocumentada alcanzó su más alto nivel en 2007 --13 millones--, con el 58 por ciento proveniente de México. Disminuyó con la crisis económica y se ha mantenido en unos 11 millones en los últimos años.

Por otra parte, el gobierno de Obama ha deportado a un número récord de indocumentados en lo que va de su administración. De octubre de 2010 a septiembre de 2011, se deportaron a 396,906 indocumentados. El número supera en 4,000 las deportaciones del año anterior. Más de la mitad de los deportados fueron indocumentados con récord criminal.

Estos datos confirman lo que vienen diciendo expertos como Douglas S. Massey, codirector del Proyecto de Migración Mexicana de la Universidad de Princeton. El trabajo del profesor Massey corrobora que la inmigración indocumentada se encuentra a su más bajo nivel en 50 años.
La crisis económica, mayor seguridad en la frontera y un número récord de deportaciones han provocado que muchos mexicanos lo piensen dos veces antes de emigrar al norte. Otro factor es el riesgo que representan los cárteles de la droga que controlan la zona fronteriza.

Asimismo, cada vez es mayor el número de trabajadores mexicanos que vienen a laborar legalmente a Estados Unidos. Según Massey, se otorgaron más de 500,000 permisos temporales de trabajo en 2010, el mayor número en la historia.

Todo esto significa que, con mayor seguridad en la frontera sur, la economía en recuperación y la inmigración indocumentada virtualmente detenida, Obama y el Congreso tienen la oportunidad de legalizar a millones de indocumentados.

En su segundo periodo, Obama y el Congreso deben legalizar a los 11 millones de indocumentados que viven entre nosotros. Los Estados Unidos no pueden tener a un segmento considerable de su población viviendo en las sombras. Es un asunto no sólo de seguridad nacional, sino que también representa una oportunidad económica.

En 2010, el Centro para el Progreso Americano concluyó que una reforma migratoria representaría un crecimiento en el producto interno bruto de $1.5 billones en diez años. Los inmigrantes legalizados comprarían casas y autos generando nuevos ingresos para el sector privado y más impuestos para los gobiernos locales, estatales y el federal.

La reforma migratoria tiene sentido. Las condiciones de seguridad fronteriza, repunte de la economía y control del flujo migratorio están dadas. Sólo falta la voluntad política. La reelección de Obama le otorga un espaldarazo para negociar una reforma migratoria integral con los congresistas republicanos.

En su discurso tras su victoria, el presidente Obama mencionó de nuevo la necesidad de arreglar el sistema obsoleto de inmigración. Es tiempo de que cumpla su promesa.

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  • Barack Obama

    President Barack Obama watches as first lady Michelle Obama gives a thumbs up at his election night party Wednesday, Nov. 7, 2012, in Chicago. President Obama defeated Republican challenger former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. (AP Photo/Chris Carlson)

  • Barack Obama, Michelle Obama, Jill Biden Joe Biden

    President Barack Obama, first lady Michelle Obama, Vice President Joe Biden and Jill Biden acknowledge the crowd at his election night party Wednesday, Nov. 7, 2012, in Chicago. President Obama defeated Republican challenger former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)

  • President Barack Obama , joined by his wife Michelle, Vice President Joe Biden and his spouse Jill acknowledge applause after Obama delivered his victory speech to supporters gathered in Chicago early Wednesday Nov. 7 2012. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)

  • Barack Obama

    President Barack Obama waves to his supporters after his speech at his election night party Wednesday, Nov. 7, 2012, in Chicago. President Obama defeated Republican challenger former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. At right is Vice President Joe Biden. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)

  • Joe Biden, Jill Biden

    Vice President Joe Biden and his wife Jill Biden wave to the supporters after President Barack Obama's speech at his election night party Wednesday, Nov. 7, 2012, in Chicago. President Obama defeated Republican challenger former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)

  • President Obama Holds Election Night Event In Chicago

    CHICAGO, IL - NOVEMBER 06: U.S. President Barack Obama walks on stage with first lady Michelle Obama and daughters Sasha and Malia to deliver his victory speech on election night at McCormick Place November 6, 2012 in Chicago, Illinois. Obama won reelection against Republican candidate, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

  • President Obama Holds Election Night Event In Chicago

    CHICAGO, IL - NOVEMBER 06: U.S. President Barack Obama walks out on stage to deliver his victory speech on election night at McCormick Place November 6, 2012 in Chicago, Illinois. Obama won reelection against Republican candidate, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

  • President Obama Holds Election Night Event In Chicago

    CHICAGO, IL - NOVEMBER 06: U.S. President Barack Obama walks on stage with first lady Michelle Obama and daughters Sasha and Malia to deliver his victory speech on election night at McCormick Place November 6, 2012 in Chicago, Illinois. Obama won reelection against Republican candidate, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

  • Mitt Romney

    Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney arrives to his election night rally, Wednesday, Nov. 7, 2012, in Boston. President Obama defeated Republican challenger former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. (AP Photo/David Goldman)

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  • People react after they learn President Obama has won at Democratic headquarters in Portland, Ore., Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012.(AP Photo/Don Ryan)

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  • Obama 2012

    President Barack Obama supporters celebrate televised reports of his projected re-election for president of the United States during a rally at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Md., Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana)

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  • Barack Obama

    Supporters cheer as a network projects the re-election of President Barack Obama at his election night party Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Chris Carlson)

  • Barack Obama

    A supporter reacts to election results at the election night party for President Barack Obama Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)

  • US-VOTE-2012-ELECTION-OBAMA

    Supporters of US President Barack Obama react to results on election night November 6, 2012 in Chicago, Illinois. AFP PHOTO / Robyn Beck (Photo credit should read ROBYN BECK/AFP/Getty Images)

  • Cean Orrett, 45, center, and Gareth Edmondson-Jones, 46, of San Diago, both recently married in New York, react to positive predictions for President Barack Obama as crowds watch election results in Times Square, Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012, in New York. After a year of campaigning, polls have begun to close after Americans across the United States headed to the polls to decide the winner of the tight presidential race between President Barack Obama and Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. (AP Photo/ John Minchillo)

  • ITALY-US-VOTE-2012

    A supporter of US President Barack Obama attends the US election night party in Milan on November 7, 2012 . AFP PHOTO / GIUSEPPE CACACE (Photo credit should read GIUSEPPE CACACE/AFP/Getty Images)

  • Guests look at early projections for votes for the President Barack Obama and Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney during the Presidential Election party at the U.S. Embassy in London, Wednesday, Nov. 7, 2012. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

  • Voters wait in line near the Irondale Senior Citizens' Center, near Birmingham, Ala., Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012. Even though polls had closed for the 2012 general election, nearly 1,000 stood in a line that wrapped around nearby streets to cast their ballot. (AP Photo/The Birmingham News, Tamika Moore) MAGS OUT

  • Poll workers Eva Prenga, right, Roxanne Blancero, center, and Carole Sevchuk try to start an optical scanner voting machine in the cold and dark at a polling station in a tent in the Midland Beach section of Staten Island, New York, Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012. The original polling site, a school, was damaged by Superstorm Sandy. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)

  • Voters cast their ballots at a polling place inside St. Leo's Catholic Church in Baltimore on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012. After a grinding presidential campaign President Barack Obama and Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, yield center stage to American voters Tuesday for an Election Day choice that will frame the contours of government and the nation for years to come. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)

  • Voters pack the South Starkvile Voting Precinct trying to get their vote in before heading to work on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012 in Starkville, Miss. (AP Photo/Kerry Smith)

  • Panika Dillion makes calls to potential voters while volunteering at the Travis County Democratic Party Coordinated Campaign Headquarters on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012 in Austin, Texas. (AP Photo/Tamir Kalifa)

  • Voters leave a polling place on election day on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012, in Nashville, Tenn. After a grinding presidential campaign President Barack Obama and Republican presidential candidate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, yield center stage to American voters Tuesday for an Election Day choice that will frame the contours of government and the nation for years to come. (AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)

  • Voters line up to cast ballots in the general election at Barrow County's Precinct 16 at Bethlehem Christian Academy, Tuesday morning, Nov. 6, 2012, in Bethlehem, Ga. (AP Photo/David Tulis)

  • President Barack Obama buttons at the Obama field office located on Wyoming Avenue in Scranton, Pa., on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012 during Election Day. (AP Photo/Scranton Times & Tribune, Butch Comegys) WILKES BARRE TIMES-LEADER OUT; MANDATORY CREDIT

  • Voters wait in line to cast their ballots under a tent at a consolidated polling station for residents of the Rockaways on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012, in the Queens borough of New York. (AP Photo/Jason DeCrow)

  • Victor "Snake Mann" Wolder, marks his choices while voting during Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/Julie Jacobson)

  • Voters wait in line to cast their ballots at a polling station in San Juan, Puerto Rico, Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012. Puerto Ricans are electing a governor as the U.S. island territory does not get a vote in the U.S. presidential election. But they are also casting ballots in a referendum that asks voters if they want to change the relationship to the United States. A second question gives voters three alternatives: become the 51st U.S. state, independence, or "sovereign free association," a designation that would give more autonomy. (AP Photo/Ricardo Arduengo)

  • People walk with a dog toward the main entrance of a polling place at a Hoboken Fire Department firehouse on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012, in Hoboken, N.J. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

  • A line forms outside a polling place as people gather to vote on Election Day Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/Julie Jacobson)

  • Classical studies major Omar Dyette, from Racine, Wis., front right, mans a table outside the polls on the campus of Oberlin College in Oberlin, Ohio on Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012. Dyette volunteered with the Ohio Public Interest Research Group to register college students prior to the 2012 election. (AP Photo/Mark Duncan)

  • Noelle Connor

    Noelle Connor, a Madison, Miss., poll worker readies a sticker to apply to the lapel of finished voters at her precinct Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012. Local officials expressed their pleasure with the large early turnout of voters. (AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)

  • Susan Mardas celebrates Election Day by wearing a festive hat Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012, while waiting for her mother to vote in Scarborough, Maine. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)

  • People cast their votes at the Suder Elementary School voting precinct in Jonesboro, Ga. on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012. (AP Photo/Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Kent D. Johnson) MARIETTA DAILY OUT; GWINNETT DAILY POST OUT; LOCAL TV OUT; WXIA-TV OUT; WGCL-TV OUT

  • VIRGINIA VOTE

    Voters wait on line on Election Day at the Amtrak waiting room at Main St. Station in Richmond, Va Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012. (AP Photo/Richmond Times-Dispatch, Bob Brown).

  • Amy Kobuchar

    U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar, D Minn., right, stands in line waiting to vote at Marcy School, Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012 in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Andy King)

  • Voters wait in line at a polling place located inside a shopping mall on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012, in Austin, Texas. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)

  • Addey Munye

    Addey Munye, 67, shows off her "I Voted" sticker after she cast her ballot in her first election at a polling station in the West Acres Mall in Fargo, N.D, Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012. Munye is originally from Somalia. (AP Photo/LM Otero)

  • Voters wait to cast a ballot at P.S. 33 in the Chelsea neighborhood of Manhattan, Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012, in New York. Voting in a the U.S. presidential election was the latest challenge for the hundreds of thousands of people in the New York-New Jersey area still affected by Superstorm Sandy, as they struggled to get to non-damaged polling places to cast their ballots in one of the tightest elections in recent history. (AP Photo/ John Minchillo)

  • Voters wait in line to cast their ballots at a polling station in San Juan, Puerto Rico, Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012. Puerto Ricans are electing a governor as the U.S. island territory does not get a vote in the U.S. presidential election. But they are also casting ballots in a referendum that asks voters if they want to change the relationship to the United States. A second question gives voters three alternatives: become the 51st U.S. state, independence, or sovereign free association, a designation that would give more autonomy. (AP Photo/Ricardo Arduengo)

  • Voters check in and cast their ballots under a tent at a consolidated polling station for residents of the Rockaways on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2012, in the Queens borough of New York. Voting in the U.S. presidential election was the latest challenge for the hundreds of thousands of people in the New York-New Jersey area still affected by Superstorm Sandy, as they struggled to get to non-damaged polling places to cast their ballots in one of the tightest elections in recent history. (AP Photo/Jason DeCrow)


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  • Angie Navarro

    Que tranquilidad da escuchar a Romney... Una vez terminada la elección. Que gusto la reelección d Obama...

  • Andrea García

    Sandy dejó de ser relevante en USA porque la agenda setting del día es la reelección de Obama #ProblemasDeUnaEstudianteDeComunicaciónSocial

  • Germán García

    Los latinos, los gays y la marihuana, le dieron la reelección a Obama

  • juan cardenes

    "El liderazgo es una oportunidad de servir; no de lucirse."=reelección@Barackobama presidente 4 mas.

  • Juanjo Parcero

    más importante q la reeleccion de BO, el asunto de los matrimonios gays, la marihuana y la pena de muerte, todo a votación, veremos resultad

  • Ivan Sandoval

    La ventaja de una reeleccion es la madurez q a adquirido el Pdte durante su gobierno para encarar el proximo periodo

  • Hugo Santaromita

    Los hispanos le dieron un apoyo abrimador a Barack Obama en varios de los estados clave para obtener su reelección.

  • Pere San Jose Orgaz

    @julia_otero Un presidente de origen africano consigue la reelección en USA gracias al apoyo de los latinos. Suena bien http://t.co/Fhv1ujOE

  • Erika ♡

    EEUU y VENEZUELA tienen algo en común, la reelección de los Presidentes Chávez y Obama,lo único es que este último no hizo trampa!

  • Tania Gordillo

    Me alegra mucho la reelección de Obama, pero lo que realmente me pone feliz es la legalización de la marihuana en Colorado & Washington.

  • andres gualteros

    Obama tiene mucho trabajo y cosas por hacer, 4 años muchas veces no son suficientes. 100% de acuerdo en la reelección.

  • José Luis Velasco

    Quien lo iba a decir: el huracan Sandy ayuda a la reeleccion de Obama @Obama2012 Congratulations, Gracias al voto latino

  • Alfonso López

    RT @xosean: Afortunadamente, la "Regla de los Redskins" no funcionó, y aunque perdieron en casa, hubo reelección en EU.

  • ROSANA FRANCO

    Empire State se pinta de azul como muestra de la reelección de @BarackObama como presidente de los EEUU. #4moreyears http://t.co/JOnTusLQ

  • Andrés Pereyra

    La connotación de una reelección en latinoamérica y en EE.UU. son diametralmente opuestas.

  • Transponder 1200

    ::Cuatro Años más para Barack Obama:: #Eleccion2012 #BarackObama Barack Obama ganó la reelección según la... http://t.co/LYKTdwhX

  • Katherine Ulate

    Espero cambios y calmar las dudas que nacen en esta reelección...

  •  Mª Isabel Oduber 

    Felicidades @barackobama!!! http://t.co/Z4IfNNkP

  • Marcos Morales

    Obama se lo merece otra oportunidad ahora que cumpla con lo que dijo con la nueva reeleccion

  • Dario Klein

    Todo indica que va a ganar Obama, pero no vamos a enterarnos esta noche. Los estados clave están muy apretados. #eleccionesEEUU

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